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Signal of Climate Change through Decadal Variation of Aquatic pH in Indian Sundarbans

HK Jana, S Zaman, P Pramanick, N Mukhopadhyay, R Bose, A Mitra, Tanmay Ray Chaudhuri and AK Raha

Repeat hydrographic and time series data for 30 years in the western Indian Sundarbans exhibit direct evidence for acidification of estuarine water. The long-term trend in surface water pH is interpreted as signal of climate changeand its possible causes are briefly outlined in this first-order analysis. The significant spatio-temporal variation of surface water pH can be attributed to factors like seawater intrusion into the estuary from Bay of Bengal, sewage discharge (from point and nonpoint sources) and photosynthetic activity by the mangrove vegetation that exhibit variable biomass and area around the selected stations. The sudden rise of surface water pH during 2009 in all the stations is a direct consequence of sea water intrusion during AILA, a super cyclone that hit Sundarbans on 25th May, 2009. The significant negative correlation of mangrove vegetation pool (assessed from AwiFS data for June 2010) with percentage of pH fall (r = - 0.6978; p <0.01) strongly supports the positive influence of mangrove photosynthetic activity in shifting the equilibrium towards alkalinity.